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Thursday, April 11, 2013

5 Emotional Mistakes Sellers Make

Have you ever said something in the heat of the moment, then wished for weeks later you could reel those words back in?  Truth is, all of us commit emotion-driven mistakes in some areas of our lives.  But when it comes to selling your home - read: cashing out your most valuable asset - the stakes are simply too, too high to allow yourself and your transaction to fall prey to predictable emotional pitfalls.  

Fortunately, when it comes to emotion, what’s predictable is avoidable if you’re willing to acknowledge and correct for your own feelings and how they can foul up your decision-making.  This list will help you predict - and better yet, avoid - some common decision traps driven by emotions.

1.    Price reduction paralysis.  Wikipedia defines panic as “a sudden sensation of fear which is so strong as to dominate or prevent reason and logical thinking, replacing it with overwhelming feelings of anxiety and frantic agitation consistent with an animalistic fight-or-flight reaction.”  But there’s a real estate-specific reaction to panic that the infinitely wise Wiki editors left out: freezing up entirely.

In cases of overpricing, the seller has most often started out as overconfident in their home’s prospects on the current market.  But as the days on the market turn into weeks, or even months, that overconfidence morphs into panic: panic that the place will only get a lowball offer, panic that the place won’t ever sell, panic that the seller will be stuck in the property, panic that the seller’s future life or career plans will be ruined.  This is a panic that snowballs into increasingly disastrous hypothetical scenarios, and fast. 

Unfortunately, this panic is often accompanied by a fear that actually reducing the home’s list price will actually kick off the snowball effect. This couldn’t be further from the truth: when a home is dramatically overpriced, cutting the price is the only way to fix the scenario (besides pulling it off the market entirely) and render the home more compelling to buyers. Some sellers have actually found that reducing their price gets them to a sweet spot wherein their home receives multiple offers and sells somewhere between the reduced price and the original list price. 

But sellers who cannot manage their fear and panic can end up paralyzed, unable to cut the list price.  And this begins the snowball effect of more and more days on the market, which aggressive buyers watch until they believe the seller’s desperation will make them amenable to a lowball offer. 

The best way to deactivate this panic is to put a plan in place before it ever arises. Work with your agent to understand how to use the data around how long most homes in your area take to sell as a guidepost for making price reductions, if and when the need arises. 

2.    Excessive attachment. 
 Yes, this is the place your kid took her first steps, the place you carried your bride over the threshold, maybe even the place your parents built with their bare hands. But at the time you make a decision to sell it, it also becomes a property, an asset, that like any other good you would sell in the course of business, must be marketed and priced and transacted for.  

Sellers who are excessively attached to a home are likely to:

  • overprice it
  • ignore market data, like the recent sales prices of comparable homes nearby
  • disregard their agent’s staging advice
  • improperly prepare their home for the market, failing to update or neutralize the decor
  • be irrational in negotiations around price or repairs
  • refuse to respond appropriately to market feedback, like no showings or offers even after it’s been on the market for weeks or months.

Buyers don’t know the emotional value your home holds for you.  Nor do they care - and they certainly have no interest or intention to pay for it. If you want to stay attached to your home, keep it - no harm, no foul.  But if you truly want to sell it, you must release yourself from your emotional attachment to it.

3.    Ignoring the needs of your target audience.  Again, by virtue of putting your home on the market for sale, you have become a de facto marketer.  And every marketer knows that it’s essential to understand your target buyer’s wants, needs and lifestyle in order to get top dollar for your product (that’s your home).  It’s up to you - working with your agent, of course - to figure out who the target market for your home is and to market it accordingly.

If your home is a 2 bedroom condo with a coffee shop on the ground floor and a subway station at the end of the block, your target buyer is likely to prioritize things like efficient storage spaces and room for entertaining.  If your home is a rambling 3 story rancher on a half-acre, chances are good that pets and kids are likely to be high priorities on your home’s target buyers’ list. 

Understanding your target market is one thing - marketing appropriately for them is another. Your condo’s buyer might be drawn in by mentions of built-in closet organizers, an espresso machine included in the sale and incentives like HOA dues paid a few months in advance. Also, make sure you mention just how close and convenient the place is to the subway station entrance (and mention the station by name) in the home’s marketing materials.  

On the other hand, if young or growing families comprise the audience for your home, mentioning custom play structures, the organic vegetable garden, the proximity to quality schools and the built-in desks that are in each “kid’s” room, might be the way to help your home’s listing stand out from the rest.

4.    Celebrating too soon.  An old friend of mine who happened to be a former pro athlete would often shake his head when a team went wild over a mid-game rally.  His mantra: “Don’t celebrate too soon.” In sports, some say that celebrating too soon can cause you to relax and play less aggressively or less defensively for the rest of the game, giving your opponent a chance to make a last minute comeback.

And the same is true in real estate. Multiple offers and above-asking sales prices happen frequently on today’s market, but it’s critical not to assume your home will be in that number until a deal is actually closed. Sellers who “celebrate too soon,” so to speak, can put themselves at a disadvantage in a number of ways, like:

  • Cheaping out on staging, failing to do all the items on their property prep list
  •  Overpricing their homes, assuming the demand-supply imbalance will automatically swing in their favor
  • Getting sloppy in how they maintain their homes on a daily basis, while they are still on the market, and
  • Making large purchases or spending their house proceeds “in advance,” while the buyer’s loan and inspections are still pending.

Even on today’s market, deals sometimes fall out of escrow because a buyer has a change in their life, their job or their family, or because they simply turn out not to qualify for the loan they were pre-approved to receive. Smart sellers stay vigilant and keep their houses meticulous and their finances in good shape throughout the entire time frame from property preparation through close of escrow. Work with your agent and your mortgage broker around timing your purchase of your next home in a way that makes sense vis-a-vis your current home’s listing and sale.

 5.    Price confusion.  Some sellers have a confused understanding of the mechanics of determining the fair market value of a home and setting a list price. This leaves them vulnerable to the trap of letting their financial self-interest and fantasies for the future get in the way of setting a smart list price. 

See, a home’s fair market value is defined by what a qualified buyer will pay for it at a given moment in time.  The best way to estimate or approximate that for a home before it is actually sold is to look at what qualified buyers have actually paid for very similar nearby homes, as recently as possible.  This is what agents call looking at the comparables or “comps” - most listing agents will do a formal version of this process called a Comparative Market Analysis, and present that to a seller to consider in setting the list price for their own home.  

If a home is more or less upgraded, spacious or well-located than the comps, or if the market has moved up or down since the time the comps were sold, it might warrant listing the property at a price higher or lower than the comps indicate.  And if a seller is aggressively trying to get buyers into a property to create a bidding war, they might even go so far as to discount the list price a bit from what the comps, making the home seem like a great value in order to drive buyer traffic and interest (whether this strategy is appropriate for any given property is a subject for conversation between a seller and their agent).

All that said, some sellers are so emotional about their plans for the next stage of their life that they convince themselves to base the list price for their current home not on its fair market value or marketing considerations, but based on how much money they need to fund their next home purchase or their move to Malaysia.  (I’ve been watching too much House Hunters International - don’t mind me.)

This is the quickest, most lethal route to pricing your home so high no one comes to see it and it lags on the market, a road which usually ends in no offers at all, or very low ones.  Smart sellers can combat this tendency by staying fixated on the comparable sales data, and committing to being responsive to market feedback like low buyer traffic or having your home sit on the market for many days beyond the average in your area.

Monday, November 12, 2012

Housing market uptrend expected through 2014

ORLANDO, Fla. – Nov. 12, 2012 – The housing market recovery should continue through the coming years, assuming there are no further limitations on the availability of mortgage credit or a “fiscal cliff,” according to forecast presentations at a residential forum at the 2012 Realtors® Conference and Expo. Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors (NAR), said the housing market clearly turned around in 2012.

“Existing-home sales, new-home sales and housing starts are all recording notable gains this year in contrast with suppressed activity in the previous four years, and all of the major home price measures are showing sustained increases,” Yun said. “Disruption from Sandy likely will be temporary, notably in New Jersey and New York, but the market is likely to pick up speed within a few months with the need to build new homes in damaged areas.”

Yun sees no threatening signs for inflation in 2013, but projects it to be in the range of 4 to 6 percent by 2015. “The huge federal budget deficit is likely to push up borrowing costs and raise inflation well above 2 percent,” he said. Rising rents, quantitative easing (the printing of money), federal spending outpacing revenue, and a national debt equal to roughly 10 percent of Gross Domestic Product are all raising inflationary pressures.

Mortgage interest rates are forecast to gradually rise and to average 4.0 percent next year, and 4.6 percent in 2014 from the inflationary pressure.

With rising demand and an ongoing decline in housing inventory, Yun expects meaningfully higher home prices. The national median existing-home price should rise 6.0 percent to $176,100 for all of 2012, and increase another 5.1 percent next year to $185,200; comparable gains are seen in 2014.

“Real estate will be a hedge against inflation, with values rising 15 percent cumulatively over the next three years, also meaning there will be fewer upside-down homeowners,” Yun said. “Today is a perfect opportunity for moderate-income renters to become successful homeowners, but stringent mortgage credit conditions are holding them back.”

Existing-home sales this year are forecast to rise 9.0 percent to 4.64 million, followed by an 8.7 percent increase to 5.05 million in 2013; a total of about 5.3 million are seen in 2014.

New-home sales are expected to increase to 368,000 this year from a record low 301,000 in 2011, and grow strongly to 575,000 in 2013. Housing starts are forecast to rise to 776,000 in 2012 from 612,000 last year, and reach 1.13 million next year.

“The growth in new construction sounds very impressive, and it does mark a genuine recovery, but it must be kept in mind that the anticipated volume remains below long-term underlying demand,” Yun said. “Unless building activity returns to normal levels in the next couple years, housing shortages could cause home prices to accelerate, and the movement of home prices will be closely tied to the level of housing starts.”

“Home sales and construction activity depend on steady job growth, which we are seeing, but thus far we’ve only regained half of the jobs lost during the recession,” Yun said.

Yun projects growth in Gross Domestic Product to be 2.1 percent this year and 2.5 percent in 2013. The unemployment rate is showing slow but steady progress and is expected to decline to about 7.6 percent around the end of 2013.

“Of course these projections assume Congress will largely avoid the ‘fiscal cliff’ scenario,” Yun said. “While we’re hopeful that something can be accomplished, the alternative would be a likely recession, so automatic spending cuts and tax increases need to be addressed quickly.”

Regardless, Yun said that four years from now there would be an even greater disparity in wealth distribution.

“People who purchased homes at low prices in the past couple years, including many investors, can expect healthy growth in home equity over the next four years, while renters who were unable to get into the market will be in a weaker position because they are unable to accumulate wealth,” he said. “Not only will renters miss out on the price gains, but they’ll also face rents rising at faster rates.”

Also speaking was Mark Vitner, managing director and senior economist at Wells Fargo, who said the fiscal cliff is the biggest situation that needs to be addressed. “Beyond concerns about the fiscal cliff, the economic improvement seems to be broadening,” he said. “Housing will strengthen in 2013 even if the economy weakens, because there is a demand for more construction, and the demand for apartments is rising at a faster rate than the need for more single-family homes. Unfortunately, apartment construction is focused on about 15 submarkets, so additions to supply will be uneven.

Even with declining market shares of foreclosures and short sales, Vitner said they would continue. “Distressed homes right now are like an after-Christmas sale – most of the best stuff has been picked over, but make no mistake, they’ll be with us for a while.”

Yun projects the market share of distressed sales will decline from about 25 percent in 2012 to 8 percent in 2014.

Friday, October 26, 2012

Study: Homeownership benefits children

WASHINGTON – Oct. 25, 2012 – Three California professors conducted a study on how homeownership benefits of children. Working under the Research Institute for Housing America, an independent arm of the Mortgage Bankers Association, they found that the homeowners’ children stay in school longer and face a lower risk of teen pregnancy than renters’ children.

The study did not offer a reason why homeownership helps children, but one author has an opinion:

“Does buying a home make you a better person?” asks Richard K. Green, director of the University of Southern California’s Lusk Center for Real Estate. “No, but the discipline associated with saving for even a small downpayment and subsequently managing a house is, on average, associated with the discipline needed to promote better outcomes for children.”

To focus on the value of homeownership, the study attempted to back other influences out of the equation, such as the education level of parents or their marital status, income, race and age. Their goal was to look specifically at homeownership’s influence on a child’s development.

Major findings

• Children who live in owner-occupied homes have higher graduation rates. The dropout rate was 2.6 percent lower than renters’ children.

• The teen birth rate for homeowners’ children was 5 percent less than renters.

• The length of homeownership seemed unimportant. Some critics suggested that it wasn’t homeownership per se that influenced children, but instead, the length of time a family lives in a neighborhood. However, the study suggests that even relatively recent homebuyers’ kids had the same benefits as long-time owners.

• The size of the parent’s home downpayment made little difference, even if it was relatively low. All children benefited when their parents owned the home. However, the authors noted one exception: Parents who bought a home with no downpayment saw no advantage.

• For both renters and homeowners, a parent’s education level was a strong predictor of their child’s success.

• Buying a home has the strongest benefit for children 12 to 17 years old. While a home purchase helps younger children, the study found that it had the greatest benefit around the teen years.

Monday, October 22, 2012

Construction in 4 Fla. cities up 9.6%

CHICAGO – Oct. 22, 2012 – For major-metro regions in Florida – Jacksonville, Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Tallahassee, and Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater – had an increase in actively bid construction projects, according to the third-quarter BidClerk Construction Index (BCI). This increase covered both private and public construction projects that grew year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter.

Overall, Florida actively bid construction activity increase of 9.6 percent compared to one year earlier. Private construction rose 19 percent, while public construction rose 4.3 percent.

In a quarter-over-quarter analysis for all construction projects, the major-metro regions in Florida saw an increase of 12.3 percent. Third-quarter public projects saw an increase of 20.8 percent compared to the second quarter of 2012, while private projects increased 1.4 percent.

Miami
In a year-over-year analysis for the Miami region, actively bid public and private construction projects rose 10.8 percent compared to one year ago. Private projects increased 22.4 percent and public projects increased 4.4 percent.

Quarter-over-quarter, combined private and public construction projects in Miami increased 12.3 percent. Private projects rose 2.8 percent and public projects rose 19.3 percent.

Orlando
In a year-over-year analysis for the Orlando region, actively bid public and private construction projects dropped 4.4 percent compared to one year ago. Private projects decreased 3.1 percent and public projects decreased 5.6 percent.

Quarter-over-quarter, combined private and public construction projects in Orlando decreased 3.3 percent. Private projects decreased 4.5 percent and public projects dropped 2.2 percent.

Tampa-St. Pete
In a year-over-year analysis for the Tampa-St. Pete region, actively bid public and private construction projects rose 24.5 percent compared to one year ago. Private projects increased 23.7 percent and public projects increased 24.9 percent.

Quarter-over-quarter, combined private and public construction projects in Tampa-St. Pete increased 16.9 percent. Private projects decreased 9.1 percent and public projects rose 37.8 percent.

Nationally, actively bid combined public and private construction projects increased 3 percent in the third quarter of 2012, compared to the same quarter a year ago. Third quarter 2012 public construction increased modestly, rising just 0.2 percent, while third quarter 2012 private construction rose 12.3 percent, year-over-year.

BidClerk, a provider of construction project data and marketing tools for building product manufacturers, contractors and distributors, releases the BidClerk Construction Index quarterly.

Thursday, September 27, 2012

Jacksonville Florida Real Estate Market Update August 2012

What's the latest in the Jacksonville real estate market? Here is a quick view of the health of the market with Rob Burns Realtor.

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This is why I live in Jacksonville Florida

Rob Burns, Realtor in Jacksonville wants to take you on a tour of this great city. Come see why so many people are moving to Jacksonville Florida. If you can't decide which city is right for you, this might help you decide.

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Thursday, September 6, 2012

Jacksonville Real Estate Market Update

Jacksonville Real Estate Agents Look at the Market
Rob Burns, Jacksonville Florida Realtor brings you real data from the Multiple Listing Service about the health of the real estate market. Follow me at Google+
 

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